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2024-12-14 11:59:36

Chief economist of CITIC Jiantou: More active finance and moderately loose currency are beneficial to both stocks and debts. Huang Wentao, chief economist of CITIC Jiantou, interpreted the Central Economic Work Conference and said that the meeting stressed that it is necessary to maintain stable economic growth next year, maintain overall stability in employment and prices, raise the fiscal and monetary adjustment to the strongest level for many years, and give priority to expanding domestic demand. The construction of modern industrial system focuses on new quality productivity, and the economic system reform has landmark measures to expand autonomy and unilateral opening up in an orderly manner to stabilize the property market and stock market. Stable employment and stable prices will bring about both nominal and real growth, more active finance and moderately loose currency, which will be beneficial to both stocks and debts, the stock index, valuation and liquidity will stabilize and rebound, and the bond market interest rate will have more downside. Looking forward to 2025, the 5% real and nominal GDP growth rate is the direction of efforts. The growth is more brought about by the domestic demand boost and two innovations, new quality productivity and new supply, industrial digitalization and digital industrialization, rural revitalization and new urbanization, Belt and Road Initiative and opening up, and the high-quality ending of the "14 th Five-Year Plan" started the "15 th Five-Year Plan".Pacific Securities: The reversal of photovoltaic industry is about to focus on three directions. The Pacific Securities Research Report pointed out that with the continuous breakthrough of new markets and technologies, the new cycle of photovoltaic parity is accelerating, and the reversal of photovoltaic industry is about to begin. It is suggested to focus on three directions: 1) The new cycle of supply and demand is expected to start in 2025, the industry quotation and profit are expected to be restored, and the leading advantages will be gradually highlighted. In 2025, it is expected to usher in a new round of growth, including Longji Green Energy and Jingke Energy. 2) New technology fields with large cost reduction space and continuous technology iteration, such as GCL Technology and Perovskite, are expected to fully benefit; 3) The advantages of supporting facilities and leading enterprises are prominent, and emerging markets are expected to promote the rapid improvement of shipments and profits, and the advantages of leading enterprises will be further enhanced, and enterprises such as Sunshine Power and Foster are expected to fully benefit.Inter-bank cash bonds are strong as a whole, and national debt and CDB active bonds are down by 3-5bp. The 5-year treasury bonds and CDB active bonds went down by about 5bp, and "24 Treasury bonds with interest 20" reported 1.42%, which was a record low compared with yield to maturity, a Chinese bond in the same period, and "24 CDB 08" reported 1.515% in the same period, a record low since January 26th, 2006. The 10-year "24 interest-bearing treasury bonds 11" initially declined, and now it remains below 1.8%.


The insurance and securities sectors fluctuated and fell by more than 7%. The insurance and securities sectors fluctuated and fell by more than 7%. Tianmao Group fell by more than 5%. China Life Insurance, Harbin Investment Co., Ltd., New China Life Insurance and Guolian Securities followed suit.Cantor Fitzgerald, the nominee of Trump Secretary of Commerce, was fined by the SEC, and the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) sued Cantor Fitzgerald, a financial services company, for allegedly violating the regulatory disclosure regulations related to the Special Purpose Acquisition Company (SPAC) before raising funds. Cantor agreed to settle the SEC's allegations with a civil fine of $6.75 million, and agreed not to violate the relevant laws and regulations again, but the company did not admit or deny the relevant allegations. It is worth noting that Howard Lutnick, Chairman and CEO of Cantor, was recently nominated by US President-elect Trump as the Secretary of Commerce, and Lutnick is also the co-chairman of Trump's transition team.The growth enterprise market index fell to 1%, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.65% and the Shenzhen Composite Index fell by 0.93%. Securities, real estate and food consumption were among the top losers, with nearly 4,300 stocks falling in Shanghai, Shenzhen and Beijing.


The 28th meeting of the China-ROK Joint Economic and Trade Commission was held in Seoul, South Korea. On the 12th, Vice Minister of Commerce Li Fei co-chaired the 28th meeting of the China-ROK Joint Economic and Trade Commission with Vice Minister of Foreign Affairs Jiang Renxian in Seoul, South Korea. The two sides exchanged views on deepening China-ROK industrial chain supply chain, trade and investment, regional and multilateral cooperation, pragmatically promoted related matters, and reached broad consensus.The weighted share price index of Taiwan Stock Exchange opened 0.2% lower at 23,002.37.The consumer electronics sector fell in the short term, and the consumer electronics sector fell in the short term, and the victory precision fell. Fenda Technology, Bird, Darui Electronics, Chuanyi Technology and Guanghong Technology followed suit.

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